Hypothetical Differential Diagnosis and Pre-Test and Post-Test Probabilities for Chest Pain in a 50-Year-Old With Hypertension and Diabetes who Smokes Cigarettes

Diagnosis

Pre-Test Probability

Post-Test Probability I (Additional Findings of Leg Pain, Swelling, and Normal ECG and Chest Radiograph)

Post-Test Probability II (Additional Findings of Segmental Defect on Chest CT Angiography and Normal Serum Troponin I Level)

Acute coronary syndrome

40%

28%

1%

ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction

20%

< 1%

< 1%

Chest wall pain

30%

20%

< 1%

Pulmonary embolism

5%

50%

98%

Dissecting thoracic aortic aneurysm

< 3%

< 1%

< 1%

Spontaneous pneumothorax

< 2%

< 1%

< 1%